It’s been almost seven years since A Dance with Dragons was released and Game of Thrones fans are getting impatient with A Song of Ice and Fire’s author.

Martin has said before he hopes The Winds of Winter will be released this year and now one self-confessed “bored” fan has performed a regression analysis of book numbers vs original release dates to predict if that’s likely.

Posted by user King_of_Pyjamas, the quadratic model used managed to predict the first five books’ release dates with a margin for error of just 165 days.

A Dance with Dragons was released on July 12, 2011 and the model predicted July 7, 2011, so when should fans expect The Winds of Winter?

george rr martin and winds of winter book

Winds of Winter RELEASE DATE: Does THIS prove new Game of Thrones book coming Summer 2018?

table of data

The Winds of Winter is predicted to arrive in November 2018, although maybe as early as the summer

Well according to the data, the model predicted November 21, 2018 for the next Game of Thrones book.

Although the Reddit user who actioned the test reckons that based on the results, The Winds of Winter will be released between June 10, 2018 and May 5, 2019.

The model also predicted September 29, 2027 for A Dream of Spring, the final book in the series.

With their estimate off the back of that being between April 18, 2027 and March 12, 2028 – when Martin is 79-years-old.

george rr martin posing

George RR Martin has revealed he's stepping back from blogging to focus on an array of projects

iron throne

Who will take the Iron Throne at the conclusion of the last Game of Thrones book, A Dream of Spring?

Martin’s that he was stepping back from his blog in order to focus on an apparent array of projects has led fans to wonder if TWOW close after all.

“All's good, boys and girls... lots of exciting things going on,” he had written.

“LOTS of exciting things.”


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